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Analyst suggests next gen consoles could be here by 2019

Michael Pachter believes that next-gen consoles could be on shelves as early as 2019!

Video game analyst Michael Pachter believes that the next generation of consoles could be hitting stores as early as 2019. 

With technology moving forward faster than ever before, personified by the upcoming release of virtual reality headsets, it is possible, perhaps even probable, that current gen consoles will not have the same longevity as their predecessors.

This is the opinion taken by Pachter. On the latest episode of his podcast 'Pachter Factor', he was posed this question by one listener:

"Given that the current-gen systems often struggle to run games at a steady 30 frames per second at 1080p and the rise of 4K televisions and stuff like VR, do you see this generation of consoles lasting as long as the PS3/Xbox 360 generation (7-8 years)."

After thinking for a moment, Pachter answered with this:

"I would be surprised if we had a next-gen console in 2018; we might have one in 2019, so I think 6 years is likely. We will have one by 2020, so I think seven years is a lock. So, lasting as long, probably not, but lasting longer than five years, probably so."

His reasoning for this was that the price of 4k TV's is going down and in the near future consoles will be produced that run games in 4k.

What do you think about the state of current gen consoles? Will they be long-lived or are they soon to be forgotten? Answers in the comments below!

Published Jan. 11th 2016
  • David Fisher
    Featured Columnist
    I don't think that the next gen consoles will be coming out anytime soon (maybe in 3+ years, but no sooner). With the exception of the supposed release of the NX, the consoles have sort of maxed out in terms of graphics quality. I mean, yeah, we can always make the draw distances farther, or make a character's skin have individual cells, but it's getting to a point of obscurity.

    I think gamers have - as a majority - moved away from hyper realism after getting sick and tired of it. With the focus turning to stylized games once more, I think the consoles out now can handle the majority of what people want. Sure, we *might* get a 4k console eventually, but it's not really something I think people *need*, especially for video games where the kick up in resolution doesn't really do much.

    My prediction? It's going to be more of a competition of frame rates from here on out, if anything.
  • Alec Pearce
    Correspondent
    I pretty much agree! As far as I'm concerned, I just want consoles to run great looking games at a consistent 60fps in 1080p. Is that too much to ask for?

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